Via sammobile.com
Samsung forecasts chip shortage to extend through 2028, pushing customers toward long-term deals
The memory chip giant's semiconductor profits surged 250-fold as AI demand creates a supply gap that keeps getting wider
Samsung Electronics just told the world what data center operators, AI developers, and crypto miners have been dreading: the memory chip crunch isn’t going anywhere. During its Q2 2026 earnings call on July 30, the South Korean giant projected that the global memory chip shortage will actually worsen in 2027 before persisting well into 2028.
The numbers behind the squeeze
Samsung’s chip division delivered a performance that borders on surreal. Semiconductor profits soared over 250-fold year-over-year in Q2 2026. Overall net profits jumped 14 times compared to the same quarter last year.
Executive VP Jaejune Kim spelled it out on the call: the supply shortage expected in 2027 will be worse than what the market experienced in 2026. Not the same. Worse.
The demand driver here is straightforward. AI data centers are consuming high-bandwidth memory (HBM) at a rate that manufacturers simply cannot match. The result is a market dynamic where nearly all of Samsung’s customers are now requesting multi-year supply agreements. That’s a significant shift from the traditional procurement model, where buyers would negotiate quarterly or annually.
This forecast also builds on earlier warnings Samsung executives delivered in April 2026, when they flagged a widening supply gap specifically for memory chips used in AI infrastructure. The July update confirmed that the gap hasn’t narrowed. It’s grown.
The broader investment picture
For traditional semiconductor investors, Samsung’s forecast is broadly bullish for memory producers. Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, the three companies that dominate global memory production, are positioned to benefit from years of elevated margins.
When Samsung’s biggest customers lock up supply through 2028, the remaining allocation available on the spot market shrinks. Smaller buyers end up competing for a thinner slice of available inventory at potentially higher prices.
What to watch going forward: Samsung’s capital expenditure plans for memory fab expansion, pricing trends for HBM specifically, and whether competing producers like SK Hynix issue similar multi-year shortage forecasts.