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Anthropic IPO predictions

US IPO market set for record-breaking year in 2026 with SpaceX’s $75B debut

Axios · just now ago
YES 7% 0¢ since publish
US IPO market set for record-breaking year in 2026 with SpaceX’s $75B debut
https://www.space.com/35381-spectacular-spacex-rocket-landing-photos.html

The U.S. IPO market is on track to set new records in 2026, bolstered by SpaceX’s recent $75 billion IPO, which marked the largest in history. The momentum is expected to continue with anticipated public offerings from major players like OpenAI and Anthropic, both highly valued AI companies. This surge is part of a broader recovery, with traditional IPOs raising $114.2 billion across 65 deals in the first half of 2026, significantly surpassing the previous year’s figures. The market’s growth extends beyond AI, with biotechnology and SPAC issuances also contributing to the burgeoning IPO landscape.

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Key Takeaways

  • Recent activity in the U.S. IPO market suggests a sustained recovery, with traditional IPOs raising over $114 billion so far in 2026.
  • The potential IPOs of OpenAI and Anthropic are anticipated to push total issuance toward record-breaking levels, supported by strong investor interest.
  • Market indicators suggest support for a continued upward trend in IPO activity, driven by diverse sectors including biotechnology and AI.

What to Watch

Markets will closely monitor any announcements from Anthropic regarding its IPO plans, as they could significantly impact expectations. Key developments to watch include SEC filings and any public statements from Anthropic executives. Additionally, any changes in economic conditions or regulatory adjustments affecting tech IPOs may influence the current sentiment. The period leading up to December 31, 2026, is particularly critical, with market pricing currently suggesting a strong likelihood of Anthropic’s IPO occurring by that date.

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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
September 30, 2026 7% View market →
July 31, 2026 0.4% View market →
December 31, 2026 66% View market →
July 1 2027 27.5% View market →
July 1 2027 4.5% View market →

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