Anthropic has officially launched Claude Opus 4.7, confirming its release by May 31. The odds for a release by this date are now at 99.9% YES, up from 38% a week ago.

The May 31 market consolidated at 99.9% YES. The June 30 market also sits at 99.9% YES. Both contracts reflect full confidence that the release has occurred.

Combined daily volume on these markets hit $86,521 in USDC. The order book is deep enough that moving the price even slightly requires significant capital. The largest single price movement was a 4-point drop to 94% in the early hours, which was quickly corrected by other participants.

Anthropic is backed by Amazon and Google. At 99.9¢, buying YES offers negligible return given the near-certainty of the event. The market is effectively resolved.

Traders should watch for any announcements around the Claude Mythos project. Dario Amodei’s public statements and updates on the Amazon or Google partnerships could provide signals for future Anthropic-related markets.

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