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Greg Abbott approval hits record low 21% amid Texas governor race

Kalshi · just now ago
YES 81% 0¢ since publish
Greg Abbott approval hits record low 21% amid Texas governor race
Photo: Stephen Leonardi / Pexels

Governor Greg Abbott’s approval rating has hit a record low of 21% amid his re-election campaign for a fourth term in Texas. This decline comes as Abbott faces a strong challenge from Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa. The Texas gubernatorial race has seen fluctuating polls, with some showing Hinojosa ahead and others giving Abbott a slight edge. The current political climate in Texas is tense, with no votes counted yet and both parties vying for crucial victories in the state’s elections. Former President Donald Trump has endorsed Abbott, adding another layer of complexity to the race.

Key Takeaways

  • Abbott’s record low approval rating appears to indicate a significant shift in voter sentiment against the Republican incumbent.
  • Market pricing suggests a notable increase in the perceived likelihood of a Democratic victory in the Texas governor race.
  • The current odds for a Democratic sweep of the Texas Senate and Governor elections are supportive of a YES outcome, rising sharply to 76%.

What to Watch

Observers should monitor further polling data and any last-minute developments that could influence voter sentiment. Key indicators include turnout in Democratic-heavy counties and any new endorsements or controversies. As the final election results come in, any shifts in the market odds could suggest the likely outcome of the Texas gubernatorial race.

Texas Senate And Governor Combo 20260807213940452
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
November 4 2026 81% — — View market →
November 4 2026 4.5% — — View market →
November 4 2026 1.5% — — View market →
November 4 2026 17% — — View market →
Texas Governor Winner 2026
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
will-the-democrats-win-the-texas-governor-race-in-2026 83% — — View market →
will-the-republicans-win-the-texas-governor-race-in-2026 16.8% — — View market →
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