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South carolina republican Senate special primary

Nancy Mace won’t run for Senate after Trump backs Graham’s sister

Politico · just now ago
YES 11% 0¢ since publish
Nancy Mace won’t run for Senate after Trump backs Graham’s sister
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trumps-third-world-travel-ban-could-become-permanent-firebrand-republican-lawmaker-gets-her-way

Nancy Mace, a Republican House member from South Carolina, has announced she will not pursue the U.S. Senate seat left vacant by the late Senator Lindsey Graham. This decision follows President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Darline Graham Nordone, Graham’s sister, for the full term. Nordone, appointed as the interim senator by Governor Henry McMaster, is now positioned as the front-runner in the upcoming special Republican primary on August 11. Mace had been exploring a Senate run, but Trump’s endorsement of Nordone has consolidated Republican support around her, leading to Mace’s withdrawal.

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Key Takeaways

  • Nancy Mace’s decision not to run appears to decrease her previous market consideration as a potential candidate.
  • Trump’s endorsement of Darline Graham Nordone is consistent with a shift in GOP support towards her candidacy.
  • Market pricing suggests that Nordone’s competitive position as the favored candidate has strengthened, impacting other potential candidates’ odds.

What to Watch

The special Republican primary on August 11 is the next major event, with Nordone currently leading in market pricing. Observers will be watching for any late entries or endorsements that could impact the race dynamics. Ralph Norman, another potential candidate, may gain attention if he files for the Senate instead of the House. Any further endorsements from key Republican figures could also shift the current landscape.

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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
August 11 2026 10.5% View market →
August 11 2026 11.5% View market →
August 11 2026 0.8% View market →
August 11 2026 78.8% View market →
August 11 2026 0.6% View market →

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