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Best AI model by september 2026 ↗

OpenAI scientist urges AI development slowdown for safety, impacting Anthropic odds

AndrewCurran_ · 19d ago
YES 99% ▲15¢ since publish
Sep 20 Updated 2min ago
OpenAI scientist urges AI development slowdown for safety, impacting Anthropic odds

Jakub Pachocki, OpenAI’s Chief Scientist, has expressed concerns about the speed of AI development, emphasizing the need for voluntary slowdowns until alignment and monitoring challenges are sufficiently addressed. Pachocki’s comments highlight the importance of international coordination in AI advancements, urging governments to prioritize this issue. His remarks come amidst ongoing debates about the pace and safety of AI scaling, reflecting a cautious stance on rapid technological progress without established safety measures.

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In the prediction market concerning which company will have the best AI model by the end of September 2026, Anthropic’s chances have seen a decrease. This shift follows Pachocki’s comments, which suggest potential delays in AI innovation due to the advocated slowdowns. The market currently prices a 83.5% chance for Anthropic to have the leading AI model by the end of the month, down from 86% just 24 hours ago.

Key Takeaways

  • Pachocki’s remarks appear to suggest a need for slower AI development until safety benchmarks are met.
  • Market pricing indicates a decrease in confidence that Anthropic will have the best AI model by the end of September 2026.
  • The pricing shift reflects concerns about potential delays in AI innovation impacting Anthropic’s chances.

What to Watch

Watch for any formal announcements from major AI labs regarding slowdowns in development. The stance of government bodies on international AI coordination could also influence market dynamics. Further statements from AI industry leaders like Dario Amodei of Anthropic may provide additional insights into how these developments could affect the market outlook.

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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
September 30 2026 99.2% +15.7Ā¢ $11K View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.4% -13.5Ā¢ $11K View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.2% -1.8Ā¢ $4K View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% -0.1Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% -0.4Ā¢ $10K View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
September 30 2026 0.1% 0.0Ā¢ — View market →
Updated 2min ago

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