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OpenAI announced the GPT-5.5 model, resolving the release date market entirely. The GPT-5.5 release by April 23 contract now sits at 100% YES, up from 84% a week ago.
The April 23 market jumped from 93% to 100% in the last 24 hours. The April 30 and June 30 markets have also settled at 100% YES.
Daily actual USDC trading volume across these markets is $233,954. The most notable single move was a 3-point drop in the April 23 sub-market before the announcement, suggesting some traders were adjusting positions ahead of the news.
With all three release date contracts at 100%, there is no remaining trade on the timing question. Betting against the release at this point would mean taking a contrarian position with no substantive basis — the official announcement has been made and the markets are fully saturated.
Traders should now watch for GPT-5.5 benchmark results against competing models and any follow-up announcements from OpenAI or its partners. Sam Altman and OpenAI’s communications will likely shift toward deployment metrics and user feedback.
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