Pakistan’s scramble to secure LNG amid the Strait of Hormuz blockade has traders watching crude oil markets. Crude oil at $120/barrel by April 30 sits at 1.4% YES.

Pakistan’s emergency LNG purchase follows supply disruptions caused by Iran’s blockade. With 80% of its fuel cut off, Pakistan is paying steep prices to maintain energy supplies, and other nations reliant on Gulf energy face similar exposure. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 sits at 1.4% YES, down from 2% just 24 hours ago.

The market hasn’t moved much on the news. Volume is $2,513 in actual USDC traded against $100,828 in face value, which suggests traders are cautious. It only takes $695 to move the market 5 points, so a small number of trades could shift the price quickly.

Buying YES at 1.4¢ pays $1 if crude hits an all-time high by April 30, a 71.43x return. That outcome requires continued disruptions and no diplomatic breakthroughs.

Watch for OPEC+ responses or US strategic reserve releases. Either could move this market fast.

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