Earn with Nexo
1h USS George H.W. Bush reroutes around Africa due to Houthi threats
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h USS George H.W. Bush reroutes around Africa due to Houthi threats
▼ US escorts in hormuz
5% (was 16%, ▼11¢ in 1h)
⚡ US blockade of hormuz: 79% FLAT
NO ▲11¢
US escorts in hormuz
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼11¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 79% FLAT
1h 1h USS Gerald R. Ford sets post-Cold War deployment record in Middle East
NO ▲11¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
5%
▼11¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 80% FLAT
1h European airlines risk fuel shortages as Strait of Hormuz remains blocked
NO ▲8¢
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
3 articles
Developing
61%
▼8¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 83% FLAT
20m Israel and Lebanon confirm first direct talks in decades, brokered by US
1h Netanyahu, Aoun to hold US-mediated phone call amid rising ceasefire hopes
✓ 21h Trump announces Israel-Lebanon meeting set for Thursday
NO ▲8¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
61%
▼8¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 76% FLAT
22m Iran’s Ghalibaf ties Lebanon ceasefire to broader US-Iran negotiations
1h Lebanon’s Aoun backs ceasefire for talks with Israel amid market shifts
2h Israel strikes 70 Hezbollah sites in Lebanon’s Bint Jbeil amid ongoing conflict
YES ▲7¢
US-Iran ceasefire extension
1 article
Developing
78%
▲7¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
1h Pakistani army chief visits Washington for US-Iran mediation ahead of April 21 deadline
NO ▲6¢
US-Iran ceasefire announcement
2 articles
Developing
17%
▼6¢
⚡ Iran's uranium stockpile surrender 29% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 22% FLAT
11m Pakistan mediates US-Iran peace talks as ceasefire deadline looms
17m US-Iran ceasefire breach market falls as Pentagon signals reduced conflict risk
NO ▲6¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
17%
▼6¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 22% FLAT
✓ 219m Trump backs Israel-Lebanon talks, signals movement on Iran conflict
NO ▲6¢
Israel suspension of lebanon offensive
1 article
Developing
17%
▼6¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 83% FLAT
✓ 21h Israel seeks buffer zone in Lebanon ceasefire talks, complicating resolution
NO ▲6¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
Developing
17%
▼6¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 22% FLAT
✓ 21h Iranian MP doubts US peace deal prospects amid fragile ceasefire
NO ▲4¢
WTI crude oil predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
35%
▼4¢
1h Iran halts petrochemical exports amid US naval blockade
NO ▲1¢
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
22%
▼1¢
✓ 558m Russia reports attack on oil tanker in its waters amid Ukraine conflict
YES ▲1¢
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 38% FLAT
✓ 41h Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin ETF draws $100M in debut week, firm’s best launch yet
YES ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz 61% FLAT
1h Iran considers rerouting oil exports through Russia amid Hormuz blockade
NO ▲1¢
Ships transit the strait of hormuz (april 2023)
1 article
Developing
9%
▼1¢
1h US Marines conduct live hoist training on USS Tripoli amid Iran port blockade
NO ▲1¢
Iran enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 2h ago
28%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire announcement 12% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april 36% FLAT
✓ 22h Pakistan confirms imminent second round of US-Iran talks
Likely NO
Largest company by june
1 article
Developing
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 90% FLAT
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 99% FLAT
5m Nvidia and NASDAQ 100 eye 12th day of gains amid cooling US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
7m BlackRock Bitcoin ETF sees $505M inflows amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 20
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price in april 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price in april 100% FLAT
8m JP Morgan expects Bitcoin market structure bill to pass soon
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on april 13
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
9m S&P 500 and NASDAQ reach record highs amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
10m Gaza death toll rises to 72,345 amid ongoing conflict, pressuring Netanyahu
Likely NO
Russia's entry into dovha balka
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
✓ 212m Syrian army enters Qasrak base after US troop withdrawal in Hasakah
✓ 62h Russia launches massive air assault on Kyiv, Odesa; 17 dead
Likely NO
XRP price predictions for april 19
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
13m XRP rises 4% amid $17.6M ETF inflows, market eyes April 19 price target
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 13
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% FLAT
14m Bitcoin holds steady at $75K amid US-Iran tensions, traders eye $60K dip
Likely NO
Israel military action against beirut
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel military action in beirut 100% FLAT
15m IDF to acquire 5,000 FPV drones amid Hezbollah tensions
1h Israel annexes southern Lebanon, military offensive suspension uncertain
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
Developing
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 99% FLAT
⚡ Largest company by market cap 90% FLAT
23m TSMC profits soar 58% on AI chip demand from Apple, Nvidia
Likely NO
Trump visit to China
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 2% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 39% FLAT
25m Trump criticizes UK’s Iran stance, hints at trade repercussions
1h China warns of ‘law of the jungle’ amid US-Iran tensions, complicating Trump visit
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
27m UN condemns Israel’s Lebanon tactics, likens them to Gaza operations
27m Iran envoy condemns US-Israeli conflict as tech misuse against humanity
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price in april 100% FLAT
29m Bitcoin accumulation hits 373,000 BTC amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Iran control and regime fall
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
39m Pentagon’s $2.3B equity push under Feinberg impacts Iran conflict outlook
Likely NO
XRP price april 13-19
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ XRP price in april 1% FLAT
55m J.P. Morgan: Clarity Act talks near breakthrough, XRP market unmoved
✓ 22h CLARITY Act negotiations narrow to 2-3 issues, XRP price remains skeptical
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 19
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Crypto venture firms face shrinking portfolios amid 2026 downturn
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
1h Iran internet blackout costs $1.8B, cripples freelancers, small businesses
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Visa partners with US banks to settle transactions in USDC on Solana
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 13-15
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% FLAT
1h US ends oil sanctions waivers, Bitcoin reacts to Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 15
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price predictions in april 100% FLAT
1h Crypto market cap drops 20.4% to $2.4T amid geopolitical tensions: CoinGecko
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
2 articles
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
2h US-Israel war closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting 60,000 flights
2h Iran seeks sanctions relief amid postwar reconstruction challenges
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on april 15
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h UK braces for potential food shortages amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 14
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Trump ultimatum to Fed chair adds uncertainty as Bitcoin steadies at $75,000