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Trump announces US to lift naval blockade on Iran
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
Trump announces US to lift naval blockade on Iran
▼ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1% (was 79%, ▼78¢ in 2d)
⚡ Average ships transiting strait of hormuz by end of may: 7% FLAT · Average ships transiting strait of hormuz by end of may: 7% FLAT
NO ▲78¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 2d ago
1%
▼78¢
⚡ Average ships transiting strait of hormuz by end of may 7% FLAT
⚡ Average ships transiting strait of hormuz by end of may 7% FLAT
NO ▲45¢
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 2d ago
2%
▼45¢
⚡ Bitcoin price may 25-31 0% FLAT
Spot Bitcoin ETFs face $229M outflow, marking 9th consecutive day
NO ▲40¢
US Iran agreement/ceasefire extension
3 articles
· 3d ago
25%
▼40¢
US and Iran reach tentative deal to extend ceasefire, begin nuclear talks
✓ 23d US-Iran reach tentative deal pending Trump’s approval
Iran agrees to remove mines, easing Strait of Hormuz tensions
NO ▲11¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
1 article
· 3d ago
1%
▼11¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 12% FLAT
US deploys over 20 warships to enforce blockade against Iran
NO ▲10¢
Average ships transiting strait of hormuz by end of may
1 article
· 3d ago
50%
▼10¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 22% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normal by july 31 60% FLAT
3d US redirects 111 vessels under Iran blockade, impacting Hormuz shipping traffic
YES ▲8¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 31
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▲8¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 29 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for june 1 2% FLAT
Bitcoin hits $74,000 as Trump lifts Strait of Hormuz naval blockade
NO ▲6¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3d ago
16%
▼6¢
⚡ US invasion of Iran 20% FLAT
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 35% FLAT
Iran targets US air base in Kuwait after Trump dismisses Hormuz deal
NO ▲5¢
Internet access restoration in Iran
1 article
· 3d ago
1%
▼5¢
Iran reconnects to internet after 88-day blackout amid US tensions
NO ▲4¢
OpenAI IPO timeline
1 article
· 2d ago
66%
▼4¢
⚡ OpenAI valuation by december 31 25% FLAT
OpenAI engages Citigroup, JPMorgan for IPO discussions
NO ▲4¢
Iranian demands Trump will agree to
3 articles
· 2d ago
1%
▼4¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normal by july 31 60% FLAT
⚡ Iran airspace closure 5% FLAT
Iran missile attack on US ships escalates Strait of Hormuz tensions
US and Iran ‘very close’ to ceasefire extension deal: Vance
Oman pledges no tolls on Strait of Hormuz after Trump threat: Bessent
NO ▲3¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
2 articles
· 3d ago
19%
▼3¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high predictions 0% FLAT
3d Strait of Hormuz reopening may lead to rapid drop in oil prices
Middle East tensions drive oil prices higher amid Iran war concerns
NO ▲3¢
Crude oil all time high predictions
1 article
· 3d ago
19%
▼3¢
US attacks on Iran drive oil price surge amid geopolitical tensions
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin price predictions for june 1
1 article
· 7h ago
74%
▼2¢
⚡ MicroStrategy Bitcoin sales timeline 88% FLAT
Strategy CEO signals potential Bitcoin sale for shareholder value shift
YES ▲2¢
Israeli parliament dissolution
3 articles
· 14h ago
51%
▲2¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 6% FLAT
Netanyahu orders expanded military exercises in Lebanon amid rising tensions
15h IDF retakes Beaufort Ridge outpost in Lebanon, impacting withdrawal outlook
Netanyahu orders army to seize 70% of Gaza, raising political instability
YES ▲2¢
SpaceX IPO predictions
2 articles
· 1d ago
99%
▲2¢
Anthropic secures $65B funding amid AI infrastructure boom
Strategy eyes $80B Bitcoin purchase, boosting market demand
YES ▲2¢
Anthropic valuation by december 31
2 articles
· 1d ago
99%
▲2¢
Anthropic valuation hits $965B after $65B funding round
Anthropic nears $1T valuation, surpasses OpenAI with $65B funding round
YES ▲1¢
New congressional maps in midterms
1 article
· 7h ago
6%
▲1¢
Supreme Court rulings boost odds of new congressional maps for 2026 midterms
YES ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 11h ago
74%
▲1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for june 1 1% FLAT
⚡ MicroStrategy Bitcoin sales timeline 90% FLAT
MicroStrategy Bitcoin purchase signals reduced likelihood of near-term sales
NO ▲1¢
Base token launch predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
89%
▼1¢
SpaceX targets $1.8T valuation for 2026 IPO debut
YES ▲1¢
Bitcoin price on may 30
2 articles
· 1d ago
99.8%
▲1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for june 1 2% FLAT
$2B in Bitcoin long positions liquidated amid geopolitical tensions
Bitcoin ETFs see record $2.8B outflow amid macro uncertainty
YES ▲1¢
Trump out as president
1 article
· 2d ago
12%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
US strikes on Iran escalate tensions, impact Trump presidency and war markets
YES ▲1¢
Bitcoin future price predictions
1 article
· 2d ago
5%
▲1¢
CFTC approves first onshore Bitcoin perpetual contract, easing regulatory concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10
1 article
· 3d ago
100%
▼0¢
BlackRock deposits $517M in Bitcoin to Coinbase Prime, boosting market confidence
Likely YES
Iranian demands Trump will agree to by june 30
14 articles
Developing
25%
⚡ US Iran agreement/ceasefire extension 26% FLAT
Macron urges Middle East leaders to back US-Iran peace efforts
Iran, US negotiate 60-day ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening
Iran ready to abandon nuclear program, US Treasury Secretary announces
Likely NO
US presidential election 2028
1 article
· 2d ago
9%
▼0¢
California’s new congressional map likely for 2026 midterms, boosting Democrats
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 3d ago
14%
▼0¢
Israel strikes Beirut, escalating conflict with Hezbollah
Israel declares part of Lebanon a combat zone amid tensions with Hezbollah