Florida governor republican primary second place ↗

Limited polling clouds Florida’s Republican gubernatorial primary outlook

New York Times Politics · 63d ago
YES 100% ▲66¢ since publish
Updated 5min ago

The New York Times reports that Florida’s primary elections feature limited polling information, with a focus on the key race for governor. The primary includes a special U.S. Senate election, the governor’s race, and several competitive House races. Polling data shows Republicans leading in the high-profile contests, but the overall picture remains unsettled with no early returns reported. The limited data has implications for candidates like Jay Collins, whose potential second-place finish in the Republican gubernatorial primary is uncertain.

Key Takeaways

  • The limited polling information suggests uncertainty in Florida’s Republican gubernatorial primary, potentially impacting Jay Collins’ chances of finishing second.
  • Current market pricing indicates a 79% probability that Collins will secure second place, though this is subject to change based on new data or events.
  • The unsettled polling landscape could lead to shifts in market pricing as more information becomes available.

What to Watch

Monitor any new polling data or endorsements that could influence the dynamics of the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary. Key developments, such as a major endorsement or a shift in polling, could alter current market expectations. As the election progresses, official results and media coverage will be critical to understanding the final outcomes in these closely watched races.

Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place 20260710143927093
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
August 18 2026 100% +20.5¢ — View market →
August 18 2026 0.6% — — View market →
August 18 2026 19% — — View market →
August 18 2026 0.9% — — View market →
Fl 09 Republican Primary Winner
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
August 18 2026 17.5% — — View market →
August 18 2026 0.1% — — View market →
August 18 2026 31.1% — — View market →
August 18 2026 100% +66.5¢ — View market →
August 18 2026 16.4% — — View market →
August 18 2026 0.1% — — View market →
James Fishback Vote Share In 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary 20260701214154078
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
August 18 2026 46.5% — — View market →
August 18 2026 100% +64¢ — View market →
Updated 5min ago